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China Economic Bulletin

ARTICLES

Notice of "regulatory storm" on the Chinese financial sector. 2

MSCI for the first time integrates Mainland China into its benchmark stock indexes. 5

The Chinese mass market faces the rise of digital. 7

The "Healthy China 2030" plan. 11

The 13th Five-Year Plan on the Development of Foreign Trade 2016-2020. 16

Chinese proposal for global interconnection of electricity networks. 20

ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Growth: GDP growth remains at 6.9% in Q2. 28

Domestic demand: investment in infrastructure remains very dynamic, at + 17% in Q2. 29

Foreign trade: Chinese foreign trade continues the rebound seen in early 2017, with an increase in the trade surplus compared to Q1. 30

Money and banking: the authorities are strengthening the supervision of the financial sector. 31

Asset markets: Real estate market dynamics shift from large cities to lower-tier cities 32

Capital flows: Chinese FDI has slowed since new constraints were put in place. 34

Public finances: the general government deficit reaches a record level in H1 2017. 34

Energy: China presents an ambitious energy sovereignty plan. 35

Monthly economic indicators. 36

Annual economic indicators. 37

Chinese GDP growth forecasts. 38

Beginning in the late 1970s, China made the modernization of its economy a priority that led it to gradually abandon the principles of planning and self-sufficiency in effect during the Maoist and post-Maoist period (1949- 1978), to make room for market mechanisms and to open up to international trade. The transition is still incomplete, as shown by ongoing efforts to establish a real banking system, a social protection regime, a legal framework; but since 1979 the Chinese economy has been experiencing exceptionally rapid growth, which since 2010 has ranked it second among world powers.

China owes this boom, on the one hand, to the mobilization of its vast domestic resources and, on the other hand, to its capacity to benefit from globalization. Since 1978, the labor force has doubled (reaching 785 million people in 2011), and considerable investment has been made to modernize industry and develop infrastructure. Labor productivity has increased thanks to the growth of non-agricultural jobs and the implementation of new production and management techniques. China has also attracted a great deal of foreign investment, which has played a decisive role and created new industrial production capacity in the sectors of domestic and international demand.

The standard of living of the Chinese has improved considerably, although since the 1990s inequalities have tended to widen. China's per capita income still ranks it among the developing countries and it has become a great power by the weight of numbers before being rich. In this regard, the emergence of the Chinese economy differs from the rise of Japan's economy in the 1960s and 1970s. The economic and social transformations in China are far from over and will continue at the pace dictated by the acceleration of the rural exodus and the urban